Category Archives: ORIGINAL ARTICLE

Consumers’ valuation of a biofortified crop: Evidence from a laboratory experiment

Posted on by

Abstract

Malnutrition among women of reproductive age and children remains one of the major issues in developing countries, particularly zinc deficiency. Zinc deficiency hinders cognitive and physical development in children as well as adults. This study utilized a non-hypothetical laboratory valuation experiment to analyze whether positive information about biofortified rice affects consumers’ valuations of biofortified as well as non-biofortified rice. Specifically, we designed a within-subject experiment based on Becker-DeGroot-Marschak (BDM) auction mechanism to compare consumers’ valuations of zinc-biofortified and popular non-biofortified rice varieties before and after exposure to information about the health benefits of zinc-biofortified rice. We conducted our experiments in randomly selected four districts of Bangladesh, and a total of 134 consumers participated in our study. Results reveal that consumers assign a significant premium to zinc-biofortified rice when they receive information about zinc-biofortified rice and its health benefits. Intriguingly, positive information about zinc-biofortified rice negatively affects the valuation of non-biofortified rice varieties, suggesting negative spillover effects. Moreover, our results also identify that both the information provision and labeling are important to increase consumer demand for zinc-biofortified rice.

Extreme weather and agricultural management decisions among smallholder farmers in rural Thailand and Vietnam

Posted on by

Abstract

In this article, we explore whether and to what extent smallholder farmers in Northeastern Thailand and Central Vietnam adjust their farm-level management strategies in response to droughts. We hereby consider adjustments in flexible adaptive strategies including water management, fertilizer and pesticide application, labor, and machine use in response to a contemporaneous drought, and adjustments in crop diversification and investments in response to a previous year drought. To that end, we combine longitudinal household data from the two regions from 2007 to 2017 with monthly high-resolution rainfall and temperature data to characterize droughts at the subdistrict level. We find that Thai farmers scale down input costs in terms of fertilizer and hired labor and outsource tasks to service providers with equipment such as a combine, especially when exposed to extreme droughts. Their diversification and investment response seems, however, muted. While Vietnamese farmers are also reducing fertilizer use, they are expanding both the number of hired laborers and rented machinery services. They are also diversifying their cropping portfolio and investing in agricultural equipment.

Examining spatial market efficiency under different marketing regulations: The case of Turkish lemon markets

Posted on by

Abstract

This study evaluates spatial market and storage efficiency in Turkish lemon markets using switching regime (SR) and threshold autoregression models. Our sample period includes a crucial regulatory reform aimed at improving the performance of fresh fruit and vegetable markets, shortening the production-consumption chain, and reducing retail prices. Using an extended SR model that allows for a gradual transition from the old to the new marketing regime, we test the hypothesis of no structural change in market efficiency and transaction costs in regional markets, including major consumption regions Istanbul, Ankara, and Izmir. Results indicate that the probability of efficient arbitrage regime is relatively higher in the post-reform period, albeit there is still room for improvement. Extended SR models show no significant change in average transaction costs, while threshold autoregression models suggest a slight increase. Furthermore, spatial prices adjust more quickly in the post-reform period, supporting relatively more efficient market functioning. While the regional markets seem to function more efficiently following the marketing reform, it has not led to permanent reductions in retail prices. Finally, our results from storage threshold autoregression models suggest that markets function reasonably efficiently, with no remarkable difference in storage behavior between the pre-reform and post-reform periods.

Gender gaps in land rights: Explaining different measures and why households differ in Myanmar

Posted on by

Abstract

Measuring and understanding gender differences in property rights is key to informing policy decisions and guiding investments aimed at fostering gender equality. However, there are a myriad ways of assessing property rights. Firstly, we assess which indicators to use and why it matters, focusing on rural Myanmar. Myanmar provides an interesting setting, as a large part of the population customarily follows joint property rights in marriage and upon dissolution of marriage and inheritance. However, documented property rights are in the household head's name – usually a male household member. We find that capturing de facto transfer rights is essential, but understanding discrepancies between reported transfer rights and documented rights will be key to policymakers. Capturing agricultural decision-making should remain a priority for agricultural projects. Second, we perform household- and intra-household level analyses to explore why we find joint land rights in some, but not all, households; and why some household members have less land rights than others. A common property rights regime positively reinforces women's land rights, but incompletely so. Within households, a person's role in the household, age, and key life cycle events such as parenthood and marriage are key determinants of having land rights.

A semiparametric spatio‐temporal model of crop yield trend and its implication to insurance rating

Posted on by

Abstract

We demonstrate the benefit of spatial smoothing for crop trend estimation with a deterministic spatio-temporal trend model. The proposed model is semiparametric, where the parametric temporal trend is modeled with a two-knot spline function for forecasting robustness, and the nonparametric spatially-varying coefficients are modeled by the radial basis function method for flexibility. To select the smoothing parameter of our trend model, we propose a forward validation criterion tailored to meet the forecasting nature of rating crop insurance. This criterion is based on a rolling regression approach that adds one year of data at a time for validation. We also propose a new criterion for model comparison using relative mean squared error in forecasting insurance payouts. Our empirical results show that the proposed trend model is more efficient and capable of identifying profitable insurance policies than two competing models in most state-crop combinations.

Aspirations and investments in livestock: Evidence of aspiration failure in Kenya

Posted on by

Abstract

Aspirations influence future-oriented behavior and ensuing outcomes but they may also fail to do so when the aspired-to-status is far away from the current one. Theoretical predictions suggest an inverted U-shaped relationship between this aspiration gap and the effort to achieve what is aspired to. Aspirations that are ahead but not too far ahead of the current status serve as the best incentives for investments. We examine the income aspiration gap of smallholder households and relate it to livestock in a pastoral setting in Northern Kenya. Our focus on livestock is guided by the burgeoning recognition of livestock as an investment and saving conduit for many households in pastoral communities in developing nations. Employing different empirical strategies including parametric and semi-parametric techniques, we find livestock to be increasing with aspirations up to a threshold, from which it then declines to lead to an aspiration failure. Delving into livestock heterogeneity, we uncover evidence that cattle and poultry respond more to the aspiration gap than small ruminants such as sheep and goats. Different U-shaped tests confirm this relationship, bolstering the evidence of an aspiration failure. These findings are robust to the inclusion of relevant controls, truncations at zero, and different variable transformations. We also show that the findings are unlikely to be driven by unobserved heterogeneity. Additionally, we find that internal locus of control, that is the degree to which individuals believe they control outcomes in their lives is associated with livestock investments.

How do changes in household economic conditions affect cognitive function?

Posted on by

Abstract

This study examines the effects of changes in household economic conditions on cognitive function using individual panel data from the National Survey of the Japanese Elderly. This study captures the objective and subjective economic conditions and examines which aspects of economic conditions affect cognitive function. The results demonstrate that deterioration in economic conditions damages cognitive function. In particular, objective economic conditions measured by income affect the cognitive function of Japanese men. This study also assesses possible pathways through which economic conditions affect cognitive function.

Birth order and intergenerational income mobility in Japan: Is the first‐born child different?

Posted on by

Abstract

This study examines how birth order affects intergenerational income mobility (IGM) in Japan, focusing on the difference in IGM between firstborn and later-born children. The elasticities of sons’ income with respect to fathers’ income are separately estimated for sons who are firstborn and sons who are later born by family size using a two-sample, two-stage least squares approach. For sons born in 1926–1981, this study finds that in families with four or more children, intergenerational income elasticity (IGE) for firstborn sons is substantially and significantly higher than that for later-born sons. However, no significant birth order effects are found in households with two or three children.

Real exchange rate misalignment and business cycle fluctuations in the Asia‐Pacific

Posted on by

Abstract

Real exchange rate (RER) misalignment, which is the deviation between the actual real exchange rate from its equilibrium, occurs frequently among developing countries. Studies have shown that RER misalignment may have negative economic implications, such as a decline in economic growth, exports, and export diversification and an increased risk of currency crises and political instability. Using quarterly data for 22 sample countries from 1990 to 2018, this paper investigates the impact of RER misalignment on business cycles in the Asia-Pacific by employing a panel vector autoregression involving consumer price index (CPI) inflation, output gap, short-term interest rates, and RER misalignment. We find that RER overvaluation may reduce CPI inflation and short-term interest rates. We also find that the Asia-Pacific region is highly heterogeneous in that the output gaps of some countries, particularly from the Southeast Asian region, are more susceptible to RER misalignment shocks.

Does global value chain participation improve firm productivity? A study of selected ASEAN developing countries

Posted on by

Abstract

This paper examines the impact of local firms’ participation in global value chains (GVCs) on productivity by considering three different patterns of GVC participation. We conducted a DID-PSM estimation involving three countries, Indonesia, the Philippines, and Vietnam, and 17 manufacturing sectors in 2009 and 2015 in a panel framework. We found an endogenous relationship between firm productivity and GVC participation: firms that enter GVCs have high productivity before participating in the GVCs (selection effect), and only Indonesian firms that entered GVCs had high productivity growth after joining GVCs (learning effect). These two effects were only found for firms that both import intermediate goods and export output and not for firms that only either import or export. We also found that indirect exporting does not improve a local firm's productivity. Several recommendations are made to help firms and governments facilitate the participation of firms in GVCs.