Announcements
Financial Management, Volume 53, Issue 1, Page 227-229, Spring 2024.
Category Archives: Financial Management
The sensitivity of risk premiums to the elasticity of intertemporal substitution
Abstract
This paper incorporates reference-dependent preferences into a consumption-based asset pricing model featuring Epstein–Zin utility. Three relevant results emerge from this extension. First, agents prefer the late resolution of uncertainty in recursive utility. Second, the late resolution of uncertainty helps replicate the downward-sloping term structure of market excess return. Third, the intertemporal substitution elasticity is more sensitive to asset prices through increasing precautionary saving motivations. A closed-form solution for the proposed model largely explains (i) high, volatile, and countercyclical equity premiums; (ii) low risk-free rates; and (iii) the downward-sloping term structure of equity premiums and variance ratios.
Minority state ownership and firm performance: Evidence from the Chinese stock market crash in 2015
Abstract
We examine the effect of minority state ownership on firm performance using the Chinese stock market crash in 2015. We find that treatment firms with minority state ownership accumulated from governmental purchases of equities experience significant reductions in operating performance. The negative impact is more severe in firms with higher riskiness and firms with less powerful large shareholders. We also find that treatment firms’ risk decreases and their employment increases after minority state shareholders step in, providing supportive evidence on the government's motives of reducing risk and preventing mass layoffs. Further tests reveal the channels through which minority state ownership impedes investment efficiency, productivity, and innovation. The negative impact diminishes when government institutions divest their shares in a timely manner. Overall, our results suggest there are unintended negative consequences of minority state ownership arising from the governmental rescue package in a market crisis.
Share repurchases on trial: Large‐sample evidence on share price performance, executive compensation, and corporate investment
Financial Management, EarlyView.
Online voting and minority shareholder dissent: Evidence from China
Abstract
Using proposal-level data in China, we document that online voting significantly increases minority shareholders’ participation in voting, and online voting is related to more dissenting votes. The association between online voting and minority shareholders’ participation and dissent is stronger in underperforming firms, indicating that minority shareholders tend to participate and dissent to express dissatisfaction. The association is stronger for shareholders with stronger voting power. Finally, we find that when minority shareholders’ dissent fails to veto a proposal, dissenting minority shareholders are less likely to participate and vote again the following year. Our results suggest that mechanisms designed to facilitate minority shareholder voting lead to greater and more informed participation in the corporate governance process.
Market power and systematic risk
Abstract
We examine the impact of product market competition on firms' systematic risk. Using a measure of total product market similarity, we document a strong negative relationship between market power and market betas. The effect more than triples in the most recent period of low competition. Anticompetitive mergers result in a significant reduction in market betas. Firms facing less competition seem to be partially insulated from systematic discount-rate shocks. Lower equity costs therefore imply that market power is partly self-perpetuating.
Are sustainability‐linked loans designed to effectively incentivize corporate sustainability? A framework for review
Abstract
This paper analyzes sustainability-linked loans (SLLs), a new category of debt instrument that incorporates environmental, social, and governance (ESG) considerations. Using a large sample of loans issued between 2017 and 2022, we assess the design of SLLs by evaluating their key performance indicators (KPIs) using a comprehensive quality score. Our findings suggest that SLLs only partially rely on KPIs that generate credible sustainability incentives. We document that SLL borrowers do not significantly improve their ESG performance post issuance and show that stock markets are rather indifferent to the issuance of SLLs by EU borrowers, while SLL issuance announcements by US borrowers are met with significantly negative abnormal returns by investors. These findings call into question the beneficial sustainability and signaling effects that borrowers may hope to achieve by issuing ESG-linked debt.
Investor attention and stock price efficiency: Evidence from quasi‐natural experiments in China
Abstract
We examine whether increasing investor attention affects stock price efficiency. To identify the causal effect, we employ daily repeated quasi-natural experiments in China where investor attention difference is purely driven by price rounding effect without information regarding stock fundamentals. Stocks tend to draw significant more attention and show higher price efficiency after being exposed to the Winner List. We also find supporting evidence for two nonexclusive channels through which investor attention enhance stock price efficiency: increasing stock liquidity and stronger net inflows from large orders. The positive relationship between investor attention and price efficiency is more pronounced among stocks with lower institutional shareholdings, stocks without overseas or Big Four audit firms, and stocks without B- or H-shares. Our findings further shed light on the significant impact of saliency on the capital market.
Joint dynamics of stock returns and cash flows: A time‐varying present‐value framework
Abstract
This paper proposes a novel time-varying present-value model to analyze the joint dynamics of stock returns and cash flows periodically. We use a nonparametric time-varying vector autoregressive model to examine the economic implications of the time-varying present-value model. By conducting several nonparametric tests, we reject the stability of multivariate forecasting models and the null that stock returns and cash flows are simultaneously unpredictable in any given period. Additional bootstrap analyses show that under the null of unpredictable returns, dividend growth is highly predictable. Finally, the proposed time-varying present-value framework holds robustly for both the dividend–price ratio and the earnings–price ratio.
Overselling corporate social responsibility
Abstract
We show that firms hype up their corporate social responsibility (CSR) narratives during the turn-of-the-year earnings conference calls to project an overly responsible public image of their firms. This previously unexplored phenomenon does not appear to be related to past, current, and future CSR engagements and cannot be explained by observed time-varying firm attributes and unobserved time-invariant firm and CEO attributes. We find that the fourth-quarter CSR narrative hike is more pronounced among firms that are (ex ante) expected to do more corporate good as well as firms embedded in dirty industries, but less prevalent among firms facing elevated product-market threats. Although elevated CSR narrative is associated with positive short-term market reaction and lower near-term stock price crash risk, such behavior tends to reduce financial report readability and leads to lower equity valuation in the longer term. Our analyses suggest that CSR narrative hike at the turn-of-the-year is a pervasive phenomenon in the corporate landscape and may have valuation and governance implications.