.
Green republicanism and the ‘Crises of Democracy’
.
Institutional incentives and contentious politics in post-Neoliberal era in Latin America (1985–2010)
Party Politics, Ahead of Print.
The article focuses on the supply-side of protest activity in Latin America in the post-neoliberal era. It argues that parties’ cohesive voting in Congress under different power constellations and parties’ linkage strategy to voters create institutional conditions of power collusion, inter-branch stalemate, or party erosion that delineates political terrain for social mobilization. First, the firm control of a single party or coalition over the executive and legislature with cohesive voting of party members in line with party leadership denotes power collusion and incites underrepresented actors to protest. Second, the dislocation in the executive-legislative relations (either with party members voting against the president’s proposals in a majority government or with cohesive opposition bloc(s) acting against the president’s will in a minority government) leads to policy immobilism and pushes legislative parties to ignite popular discontent. Third, more programmatic party linkages increase the degree of party institutionalization and predictability about policy commitment and mitigate struggles in extra-electoral arenas. The theoretical argument is tested with a battery of statistical tests that lends credence to the institutional explanations of mass mobilization and corroborated with empirical cases that show the plausibility of the statistical findings in particular contexts.
The article focuses on the supply-side of protest activity in Latin America in the post-neoliberal era. It argues that parties’ cohesive voting in Congress under different power constellations and parties’ linkage strategy to voters create institutional conditions of power collusion, inter-branch stalemate, or party erosion that delineates political terrain for social mobilization. First, the firm control of a single party or coalition over the executive and legislature with cohesive voting of party members in line with party leadership denotes power collusion and incites underrepresented actors to protest. Second, the dislocation in the executive-legislative relations (either with party members voting against the president’s proposals in a majority government or with cohesive opposition bloc(s) acting against the president’s will in a minority government) leads to policy immobilism and pushes legislative parties to ignite popular discontent. Third, more programmatic party linkages increase the degree of party institutionalization and predictability about policy commitment and mitigate struggles in extra-electoral arenas. The theoretical argument is tested with a battery of statistical tests that lends credence to the institutional explanations of mass mobilization and corroborated with empirical cases that show the plausibility of the statistical findings in particular contexts.
The Intimate and Everyday Geopolitics of the Russian War Against Ukraine
.
Climate Change as Spatial Change: Impetus to Rethink State Obligations and Embrace Supra-Sovereign Knowledge
.
Same, same but different? Explaining issue agendas of right-wing parties’ Facebook campaigns to the 2019 EP election
Party Politics, Ahead of Print.
Social media are important for right-wing parties to communicate with and mobilize potential voters in election campaigns. Our study focuses on the Facebook campaigns of right-wing parties in six European countries and aims to understand which issues were transnationally shared and which ones emphasize national perspectives on the agenda of the populist actors. We ask what context conditions on the party- and country-level determine the individual issue agendas. Using structural topic modelling, we analyze the communication of the Austrian FPÖ, the German AfD, the French RN, the Italian Lega, the Polish PiS, and the Swedish SD during the 2019 EP election campaign. To explain their issue agendas, we run logistic regression models testing the influence of country-specific and party-specific factors. Our analyses establish that while right-wing parties across Europe are similar in pushing a few populist issues like blaming elites and immigration, they still engage in campaigning on national politics.
Social media are important for right-wing parties to communicate with and mobilize potential voters in election campaigns. Our study focuses on the Facebook campaigns of right-wing parties in six European countries and aims to understand which issues were transnationally shared and which ones emphasize national perspectives on the agenda of the populist actors. We ask what context conditions on the party- and country-level determine the individual issue agendas. Using structural topic modelling, we analyze the communication of the Austrian FPÖ, the German AfD, the French RN, the Italian Lega, the Polish PiS, and the Swedish SD during the 2019 EP election campaign. To explain their issue agendas, we run logistic regression models testing the influence of country-specific and party-specific factors. Our analyses establish that while right-wing parties across Europe are similar in pushing a few populist issues like blaming elites and immigration, they still engage in campaigning on national politics.
PARTISANSHIP, REGULATION, AND VOLATILITY IN SOUTH KOREA’S HOUSING MARKET
World Affairs, Volume 186, Issue 3, Page 776-805, FALL 2023.
South Korea's mortgage loan policy, which represents a regulatory policy for stabilizing the housing market, has changed significantly in accordance with changes in presidency and partisanship. Which partisan government's housing policy has been most effective in stabilizing the market? To answer this question, we discuss the different partisanships of Korea's conservative and progressive parties, their policy preferences, and the previous governments’ key housing policies. Thereafter, we concretize the research methodology and examine the housing volatility witnessed since 1987, using the Markov-switching regression. The results reveal that the market was highly unstable when the progressive government actively promoted regulation in favor of “governmentalist” partisanship. Moreover, the policy was mostly effective in lowering apartment prices in Seoul, which was the regulation's primary target all along. Based on these findings, we conclude with some policy implications of the study. Given that governmentalist partisanship heightens volatility in the housing market, housing market policies should be designed to hedge the negative externalities of partisanship.
South Korea's mortgage loan policy, which represents a regulatory policy for stabilizing the housing market, has changed significantly in accordance with changes in presidency and partisanship. Which partisan government's housing policy has been most effective in stabilizing the market? To answer this question, we discuss the different partisanships of Korea's conservative and progressive parties, their policy preferences, and the previous governments’ key housing policies. Thereafter, we concretize the research methodology and examine the housing volatility witnessed since 1987, using the Markov-switching regression. The results reveal that the market was highly unstable when the progressive government actively promoted regulation in favor of “governmentalist” partisanship. Moreover, the policy was mostly effective in lowering apartment prices in Seoul, which was the regulation's primary target all along. Based on these findings, we conclude with some policy implications of the study. Given that governmentalist partisanship heightens volatility in the housing market, housing market policies should be designed to hedge the negative externalities of partisanship.
Activism without hope? Four varieties of postapocalyptic environmentalism
.
CHINESE STRATEGY IN THE SOUTH CHINA SEA
World Affairs, Volume 186, Issue 3, Page 687-716, FALL 2023.
The past decade has seen a notable increase in tensions in the South China Sea. Superficially the new situation has been triggered by Chinese territorial claims centering around the “Nine Dash Line.” While there is a large body of literature digging out China's strategic interests behind its increasing assertiveness in the contested waters, it falls short of an overall investigation of Beijing's maritime grand strategy—in which the South China Sea occupies a critical position. The aim of this article is therefore to examine the geostrategic, geopolitical, and geoeconomic significance of the South China Sea which comes to the fore in China's grand strategy. It argues that these sea waters are critical in Beijing's plans to establish and protect its status as a global maritime power in light of the sea energy reservoir, fisheries, and other vital maritime economic interests to reinforce its economic powerhouse. Beijing's power projection and its increasing assertiveness in the contested waters have also served in the pursuit of controlling vital sea lanes of communication in the Indian Ocean. Significantly, the South China Sea preoccupies Beijing's leadership's strategic pursuit of being a global sea power as a balancing act vis-a-vis the United States in the Indo-Pacific region and intensifying the blockade of Taiwan.
The past decade has seen a notable increase in tensions in the South China Sea. Superficially the new situation has been triggered by Chinese territorial claims centering around the “Nine Dash Line.” While there is a large body of literature digging out China's strategic interests behind its increasing assertiveness in the contested waters, it falls short of an overall investigation of Beijing's maritime grand strategy—in which the South China Sea occupies a critical position. The aim of this article is therefore to examine the geostrategic, geopolitical, and geoeconomic significance of the South China Sea which comes to the fore in China's grand strategy. It argues that these sea waters are critical in Beijing's plans to establish and protect its status as a global maritime power in light of the sea energy reservoir, fisheries, and other vital maritime economic interests to reinforce its economic powerhouse. Beijing's power projection and its increasing assertiveness in the contested waters have also served in the pursuit of controlling vital sea lanes of communication in the Indian Ocean. Significantly, the South China Sea preoccupies Beijing's leadership's strategic pursuit of being a global sea power as a balancing act vis-a-vis the United States in the Indo-Pacific region and intensifying the blockade of Taiwan.
BOOK REVIEW: Multilateral Sanctions Revisited: Lessons Learned from Margaret Doxey
World Affairs, Volume 186, Issue 3, Page 830-833, FALL 2023.