A combination of a serial AFP-increase of ≥10% every 3–6 months with an AFP level of ≥20 ng/ml may predict the risk of HCC in 6 months. Regular AFP surveillance helps to detect HCC at early stage and should be included in the surveillance test for HCC.

Abstract

Aim

Alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) checkup with abdominal ultrasonography for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) surveillance remains controversial. We evaluated a serial AFP-increase and high AFP levels in the prediction of HCC.

Methods

At-risk patients with chronic liver disease underwent HCC surveillance with trimonthly AFP measurement were included and categorized into HCC and non-HCC groups. Their AFP levels at 12, 9, and 6 months (−6M) before the outcome date were evaluated. Group-based trajectory analysis and multivariable regression analysis were performed to identify AFP trajectories as risk predictors for HCC.

Results

Overall, 2776 patients were included in the HCC (n = 326) and non-HCC (n = 2450) groups. Serial AFP levels were significantly higher in the HCC than the non-HCC groups. Trajectory analysis identified AFP-increase group (11%) increased 24-fold risks of HCC compared with the AFP-stable (89%) group. Compared with patients without the AFP-increase, a serial 3-month AFP-increase ≥10% elevated HCC risk by 12.1-fold (95% CI: 6.5–22.4) in 6 months, and the HCC risks increased 13–60 fold in patients with cirrhosis, hepatitis B, or C receiving antiviral therapy, or AFP levels <20 ng/ml. Combining serial AFP-increase ≥10% and AFP ≥20 ng/ml at −6M significantly increased 41.7-fold (95% CI: 13.8–126.2) HCC risks. In patients who underwent biannual AFP checkups, those with both 6-month AFP-increase ≥10% and AFP ≥20 ng/ml increased 22.1-fold (95% CI: 12.52–39.16) HCC risks in 6 months. Most HCCs were detected at an early stage.

Conclusions

Serial 3–6-month AFP-increase of ≥10% previously and AFP level of ≥20 ng/ml significantly increased HCC risks in 6 months.

Although hepatitis delta virus (HDV) co-infection with hepatitis B virus (HBV) is a global health concern, the global prevalence of HDV infections remains unknown due to insufficient data in many countries. In Japan, HDV prevalence has not been updated for over 20 years. The objective of our study was to investigate the recent prevalence of HDV infections in Hokkaido, Japan. We found that the current prevalence of HDV infections in Japanese patients with HBV was 1.7% (10/601). These patients experienced rapid liver fibrosis progression, highlighting the importance of routine HDV testing.

Abstract

Aim

Although hepatitis delta virus (HDV) coinfection with hepatitis B virus (HBV) is a global health concern, the global prevalence of HDV infections remains unknown due to insufficient data in many countries. In Japan, HDV prevalence has not been updated for over 20 years. We aimed to investigate the recent prevalence of HDV infections in Japan.

Methods

We screened 1264 consecutive patients with HBV infection at Hokkaido University Hospital between 2006 and 2022. Patients' serums were preserved and subsequently tested for HDV antibody (immunoglobulin-G). Available clinical information was collected and analyzed. We compared the changes in liver fibrosis using the Fibrosis-4 (FIB-4) index between propensity-matched patients with and without the evidence of anti-HDV antibodies and corrected for baseline FIB-4 index, nucleoside/nucleotide analog treatment, alcohol intake, sex, HIV coinfection, liver cirrhosis, and age.

Results

After excluding patients without properly stored serums and those lacking appropriate clinical information, 601 patients with HBV were included. Of these, 1.7% of patients had detectable anti-HDV antibodies. Patients with anti-HDV antibody serum positivity had a significantly higher prevalence of liver cirrhosis, significantly lower prothrombin time, and a higher prevalence of HIV coinfection than those who demonstrated serum anti-HDV antibody negativity. A propensity-matched longitudinal analysis revealed that liver fibrosis (FIB-4 index) progressed more rapidly in patients with positive results for anti-HDV antibody tests.

Conclusions

The recent prevalence of HDV infections in Japanese patients with HBV was 1.7% (10/601). These patients experienced rapid liver fibrosis progression, highlighting the importance of routine HDV testing.

This study focused on patients with primary biliary cholangitis (PBC) who did not respond well to the usual treatment with ursodeoxycholic acid (UDCA), and received a combination therapy with UDCA and bezafibrate (BZF). The study explored factors that could predict the outcomes of patients who received a combination therapy of two drugs. The results showed that certain indicators, such as high bilirubin levels and advanced histological stage, were associated with the patients' survival without requiring liver transplantation. The study emphasizes the need for early diagnosis of PBC to improve the effectiveness of the combination treatment.

Abstract

Background and Aims

For patients with primary biliary cholangitis (PBC) exhibiting suboptimal responses to ursodeoxycholic acid (UDCA), obeticholic acid (OCA), and bezafibrate (BZF) are currently used and shown to improve long-term outcomes. Nevertheless, we encounter patients who die or undergo liver transplantation (LT) even with combination treatment. In this study, we explored prognostic indicators in patients receiving combination treatment of UDCA and BZF.

Methods

We took advantage of the Japanese PBC registry and enrolled patients who received both UDCA and BZF therapy in 2000 or later. The covariates investigated included baseline covariates as well as treatment covariates. Two main outcomes (all-cause death or LT and liver-related death or LT) were assessed using multivariable-adjusted Cox proportional hazards models.

Results

In total, 772 patients were included. The median follow-up was 7.1 years. Using the Cox regression model, bilirubin (hazard ratio [HR] 6.85, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.73–27.1, p = 0.006), alkaline phosphatase (HR 5.46, 95% CI 1.32–22.6, p = 0.019), and histological stage (HR 4.87, 95% CI 1.16–20.5, p = 0.031) were found associated with LT-free survival. For survival free from liver disease-related death or LT, albumin (HR 7.72, 95% CI 1.48–40.4, p = 0.016) and bilirubin (HR 14.5, 95% CI 2.37–88.5, p = 0.004) were found significantly associated.

Conclusion

In patients with PBC receiving combination therapy, prognostic variables were similar to those in patients receiving UDCA monotherapy. These results indicate the importance of diagnosing patients with PBC at an earlier stage because of the reduced effectiveness of BZF at advanced stages.

Abstract

Aim

We performed genomic analysis to study the relative abundance of a urease-positive Streptococcus salivarius group isolated from the saliva of patients with chronic liver disease.

Methods

Male and female patients with chronic liver disease aged over 20 years were included. First, we assessed the frequency and type of the S. salivarius group isolated from oral saliva using molecular biology techniques based on 16S rRNA and dephospho-coenzyme A kinase gene sequencing. Next, we assessed the correlation between the urease positivity rate in the S. salivarius group isolated from oral saliva and liver fibrosis based on chronic liver disease. Urease-positive strains were identified by the urease test using urea broth (Difco, Franklin Lakes, NJ, USA). Liver fibrosis was evaluated by the liver stiffness measurement value based on magnetic resonance elastography.

Results

A total of 45 patients identified using the multiplex polymerase chain reaction for the 16S rRNA gene were tested using the multiplex polymerase chain reaction for the dephospho-coenzyme A kinase gene. Confirming the strains detected in each of the 45 patients, urease-positive S. salivarius was detected in 28 patients (62%), urease-negative S. salivarius in 25 patients (56%), and urease-positive Streptococcus vestibularis in 12 patients (27%). There was no patient with urease-negative S. vestibularis. The urease-positive rate of the S. salivarius group in the cirrhosis and non-cirrhosis groups were 82.2% and 39.2%, respectively. The liver cirrhosis group had a higher urease positivity rate than the non-cirrhotic group (p < 0.001).

Conclusions

Liver fibrosis influences the frequency of a urease-positive S. salivarius group isolated from oral saliva.

Abstract

Aim

The anti-programmed death-ligand 1 antibody atezolizumab and vascular endothelial growth factor-neutralizing antibody bevacizumab in combination (Atezo + Bev) have become the first-line therapy in advanced hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Distinct types of tumor immune microenvironment (TIME) and their associations with specific molecular subclasses and driver gene mutations have been identified in HCC; however, these insights are mainly based on surgically resected early-stage tumors. The current study aimed to reveal the biology and TIME of advanced HCC and their significance in predicting clinical outcomes of Atezo + Bev therapy.

Methods

Thirty-three patients with advanced HCC who were scheduled for treatment with Atezo + Bev therapy were included in this study. Pretreatment tumor biopsy, pre- and posttreatment diffusion-weighted magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) with nine b values (0–1500 s/mm²), and other clinicopathologic factors were analyzed.

Results

Compared with resectable HCC, advanced HCC was characterized by higher proliferative activity, a higher frequency of Wnt/β-catenin-activated HCC, and lower lymphocytic infiltration. Prognostically, two metabolism-related factors, histopathologically determined tumor steatosis and/or glutamine synthetase (GS) expression, and MRI-determined tumor steatosis, were the most significant prognostic indicators for progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival after Atezo + Bev therapy. Furthermore, changes in the pre- and posttreatment true diffusion coefficients on MRI, which might reflect changes in TIME after treatment, were significantly associated with better PFS.

Conclusions

The biology and TIME of HCC were strikingly different in advanced HCC compared with those of surgically resected HCC. Two metabolism-related factors, pathologically determined tumor steatosis and/or GS expression, and MRI-determined tumor steatosis, were found to be the most significant prognostic indicators for Atezo + Bev therapy in advanced HCC.

Abstract

Aim

The present study focused on Geriatric Nutritional Risk Index (GNRI), which is based on bodyweight and serum albumin, and known as an easy-to-use nutritional assessment tool in clinical settings, to elucidate the prognostic predictive ability of GNRI in patients treated with atezolizumab plus bevacizumab (Atez/Bev) for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC).

Methods

A total of 525 HCC patients treated with Atez/Bev, based on their classification of unsuitable status for curative treatments and/or transarterial catheter chemoembolization, were enrolled (Child–Pugh A:B:C = 484:40:1, Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer stage 0:A:B:C:D = 7:25:192:283:18). Prognosis was evaluated retrospectively using GNRI.

Results

Atez/Bev was used in 338 of the present cohort as first-line systemic chemotherapy (64.4%). Median progression-free survival based on GNRI indicating normal, mild decline, moderate decline, and severe decline was 8.3, 6.7, 5.3, and 2.4 months, respectively, whereas median overall survival was 21.4, 17.0, 11.5. and 7.3 months, respectively (both p < 0.001). The concordance index (c-index) values of GNRI for predicting prognosis (progression-free survival/overall survival) were superior to those of Child–Pugh class and albumin-bilirubin grade (0.574/0.632 vs. 0.527/0.570 vs. 0.565/0.629). As a subanalysis, muscle volume loss was observed in 37.5% of 256 patients with computed tomography data available. Along with GNRI decline, frequency of muscle volume loss became progressively larger (normal vs. mild vs. moderate vs. severe = 17.6% vs. 29.2% vs. 41.2% vs. 57.9%, p < 0.001), and a GNRI value of 97.8 was predictive of its occurrence (AUC 0.715, 95% CI 0.649–0.781; specificity/sensitivity = 0.644/0.688).

Conclusion

These findings indicate that GNRI is an effective nutritional prognostic tool for predicting prognosis and muscle volume loss complication in HCC patients treated with Atez/Bev.

Abstract

Aim

This study was undertaken to investigate the utility of the fatty liver index (FLI) as a noninvasive tool for predicting hepatic steatosis based on alcohol consumption and sex in a large Asian population.

Methods

We carried out a single-center observational cohort study at the HITO Medical Center in Japan and enrolled 1976 Asian subjects. The subjects were categorized into nondrinkers and light drinkers (0–19 g/day) and moderate drinkers (20–59 g/day) based on their self-reported alcohol intake. We used physical examinations, laboratory tests, and a questionnaire to collect information on various factors related to the FLI, including body mass index, waist circumference, and levels of γ-glutamyl transferase and triglycerides.

Results

The diagnostic accuracy of the FLI was assessed by calculating the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC), and optimal cut-off values were determined using Youden's index. The FLI had an acceptable performance index of >0.7 both overall and in all subgroups, with an overall AUROC of 0.844. The AUROCs were higher in women and moderate drinkers of both sexes. We also compared the cut-off values obtained in the present study with the previously reported values of 30 and 60. Optimal cut-off values for the FLI were calculated for the total population and subgroups and were found to differ from the previously established values in other countries.

Conclusions

Our study suggests that the FLI is a useful noninvasive marker for predicting hepatic steatosis in a large Asian population, irrespective of alcohol consumption and sex.

Patients with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease in high-risk groups (F3–4 of fibrosis stage, rule-in [IN] of Agile 3+, and IN of Agile 4) showed a stepwise increase of liver-related events. Hazard ratios of the high-risk groups were much higher in Agile 3+ and Agile 4 than fibrosis, compared to their counterparts.

Abstract

Aim

The noninvasive tests (NITs) Agile 3+ and Agile 4 effectively identify patients with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) complicated with advanced fibrosis (F3–4) and cirrhosis (F4), respectively. Little information is available on associations between Agile scores and intra-/extrahepatic events. The aim of this study was to determine the predictive performance of Agile scores for intra-/extrahepatic events in Asian patients with biopsy-proven NAFLD.

Methods

We undertook a retrospective multicenter cohort study to investigate associations between intra-/extrahepatic events and two Agile scores, Agile 3+ and Agile 4. The scores were obtained by combining clinical parameters and liver stiffness measurement using transient elastography.

Results

Among 403 enrolled patients, 11 had liver-related events (LREs), including seven with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). The incidence of LREs and HCC showed a stepwise increase in the advanced fibrosis group (F3–4), Agile 3+ rule-in (F3–4, highly suspected), and Agile 4 rule-in (F4, highly suspected) groups, compared to their counterparts. Hazard ratios for LREs in the advanced fibrosis group, Agile 3+ rule-in, and Agile 4 rule-in groups were 4.05 (p = 0.03), 23.5 (p = 0.003), and 45.5 (p < 0.001), respectively. The predictive performance results for Agile 3+ and Agile 4 were 0.780 and 0.866, respectively, which were higher than for fibrosis (0.595). Unlike for LREs, Agile scores failed to identify patients with extrahepatic events, including cardiovascular events and extrahepatic cancer.

Conclusions

Agile 3+ and Agile 4 scores are excellent NITs for predicting LREs in patients with NAFLD, possibly without histological assessment.